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Red131
23052.7
490945.9
856726.9
Blue89
870829.0
176113.4
23835.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1336905010015020013189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
52.70.6
48.649.3
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
red by 17.1
238
#21
35.60.8
33.734.4
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8
Second
4909
#10
45.90.6
41.342.0
Auto15.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
red by 16.8
8708
#33
29.00.8
26.527.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End6.9
Third
8567
#20
26.91.1
26.727.8
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End5.8
red by 13.5
1761
#39
13.40.8
12.513.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned