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Red76
9723.2
271341.8
417625.8
Blue98
19023.6
192240.6
346131.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979460801201407698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.0
42.041.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
red by 1.2
1922
#13
40.60.3
36.837.1
Auto11.3
Teleop22.9
End6.3
Second
4176
#24
25.81.0
25.124.2
Auto9.9
Teleop9.3
End6.6
blue by 5.3
3461
#17
31.20.3
27.728.0
Auto11.2
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Third
97
#35
23.21.0
23.222.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.2
End6.3
blue by 0.4
190
#28
23.60.5
23.924.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned