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Red82
208422.5
12548.2
431127.1
Blue126
346759.7
673114.5
192240.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99121608014016018082126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#16
48.20.9
46.045.1
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End8.1
blue by 11.5
59.70.7
59.259.9
Auto17.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
Second
4311
#30
27.10.9
28.627.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End6.7
blue by 13.5
1922
#13
40.60.7
37.137.8
Auto11.3
Teleop22.9
End6.3
Third
2084
#25
22.50.9
21.120.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End7.7
red by 8.0
6731
#38
14.50.7
14.214.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned