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Red125
23731.8
271341.8
23052.7
Blue152
404138.6
573533.4
175742.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351046080120160180200125152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
52.70.1
51.451.6
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
red by 10.5
1757
#12
42.23.4
35.438.8
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
41.80.1
41.141.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
red by 3.2
38.62.3
37.439.7
Auto11.3
Teleop19.7
End7.6
Third
237
#27
31.80.1
31.131.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End6.6
blue by 1.5
5735
#18
33.42.3
29.131.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned