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Red113
23835.6
192240.6
545931.0
Blue151
24636.2
490945.9
12548.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10513050150200113151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#13
40.60.7
37.838.6
Auto11.3
Teleop22.9
End6.3
blue by 7.6
125
#16
48.21.8
45.146.9
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End8.1
Second
238
#21
35.60.7
34.034.8
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8
blue by 10.3
4909
#10
45.91.8
43.545.3
Auto15.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
Third
31.00.7
30.030.7
Auto12.6
Teleop11.5
End6.9
blue by 5.3
246
#11
36.21.8
32.033.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned