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Red106
9723.2
346759.7
404138.6
Blue118
271341.8
206744.3
23835.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13313080100120140160180200106118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.71.6
60.158.5
Auto17.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 15.4
2067
#15
44.31.3
46.245.0
Auto12.1
Teleop23.4
End8.9
Second
38.61.6
39.938.3
Auto11.3
Teleop19.7
End7.6
blue by 3.2
41.81.3
41.440.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
Third
97
#35
23.21.6
24.823.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.2
End6.3
blue by 12.4
238
#21
35.61.3
34.833.5
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned