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Red102
534717.9
206744.3
346131.2
Blue62
175742.2
208422.5
856726.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9356020408010012014010262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#15
44.31.3
42.343.7
Auto12.1
Teleop23.4
End8.9
red by 2.2
1757
#12
42.20.0
25.625.5
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
3461
#17
31.21.3
25.526.8
Auto11.2
Teleop12.0
End8.0
red by 4.3
8567
#20
26.90.0
15.115.1
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Third
5347
#36
17.91.3
14.515.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 4.6
2084
#25
22.50.0
16.716.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned