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Red133
862619.8
12548.2
346759.7
Blue114
500036.5
192240.6
556327.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136106406080120160180200133114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.1
58.458.5
Auto17.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 19.1
1922
#13
40.60.2
40.040.2
Auto11.3
Teleop22.9
End6.3
Second
125
#16
48.20.1
46.947.0
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End8.1
red by 11.7
5000
#19
36.50.2
35.936.1
Auto8.7
Teleop20.8
End7.0
Third
8626
#37
19.80.1
18.518.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 8.1
5563
#32
27.90.2
27.327.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End10.6