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Red69
740749.4
90559.2
7841.6
Blue116
331435.5
8841.3
447322.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010405015020069116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.9
50.349.4
Auto12.5
Teleop27.6
End9.3
red by 8.1
88
#7
41.30.4
40.941.3
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End7.5
Second
78
#5
41.60.7
42.441.6
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.4
red by 6.1
35.50.4
35.135.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End9.0
Third
9055
#26
9.20.7
9.99.2
Auto3.9
Teleop-2.2
End7.4
blue by 13.3
4473
#23
22.40.4
22.022.4
Auto7.9
Teleop7.8
End6.8