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Red80
596217.5
500024.7
234231.6
Blue73
271334.8
196515.3
447322.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68552040801001208073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#17
31.60.8
25.526.3
Auto8.7
Teleop17.3
End5.6
blue by 3.3
34.82.2
22.124.3
Auto8.0
Teleop19.0
End7.8
Second
5000
#18
24.70.9
18.019.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End6.8
red by 2.3
4473
#23
22.42.2
13.615.8
Auto7.9
Teleop7.8
End6.8
Third
5962
#21
17.50.9
18.319.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 2.2
1965
#28
15.32.2
17.920.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed