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Red60
860416.2
490619.5
15724.1
Blue87
271334.8
6922.0
7841.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628420401001201406087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#13
24.10.6
20.720.1
Auto10.7
Teleop5.8
End7.5
blue by 17.5
78
#5
41.61.2
30.431.7
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.4
Second
4906
#22
19.50.6
22.521.9
Auto8.5
Teleop3.7
End7.3
blue by 15.3
34.81.2
20.121.4
Auto8.0
Teleop19.0
End7.8
Third
8604
#27
16.20.6
17.416.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 5.8
69
#14
22.01.2
25.226.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed