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Red83
7841.6
636717.1
490619.5
Blue65
264829.5
37199.6
226223.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7964401001208365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#5
41.61.0
39.040.0
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.4
red by 12.1
2648
#11
29.50.4
33.734.0
Auto7.1
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Second
4906
#22
19.51.2
19.420.7
Auto8.5
Teleop3.7
End7.3
blue by 4.1
2262
#20
23.60.4
15.916.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.4
End5.5
Third
6367
#15
17.11.2
13.414.6
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 7.5
3719
#29
9.60.4
12.212.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed