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Red48
6922.0
860416.2
264829.5
Blue67
234231.6
615328.4
636717.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7378405060901001101204867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#11
29.52.2
32.830.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.4
End6.9
blue by 2.1
2342
#17
31.60.4
29.028.6
Auto8.7
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Second
69
#14
22.02.4
23.521.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End4.7
blue by 6.4
28.40.6
27.426.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End5.6
Third
8604
#27
16.22.4
13.310.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 0.9
6367
#15
17.10.6
16.315.7
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned