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Red132
226223.6
271334.8
176842.3
Blue90
331435.5
6131.3
447322.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107865015020013290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.6
42.343.9
Auto12.1
Teleop21.7
End8.5
red by 6.7
35.50.5
33.333.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End9.0
Second
34.81.8
31.933.7
Auto8.0
Teleop19.0
End7.8
red by 3.5
61
#10
31.30.5
29.730.2
Auto11.9
Teleop11.9
End7.5
Third
2262
#20
23.61.8
23.525.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.4
End5.5
red by 1.2
4473
#23
22.40.5
20.220.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned