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Red97
615328.4
271334.8
596217.5
Blue149
7841.6
90559.2
740749.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111020406010012014016018097149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.3
34.534.8
Auto8.0
Teleop19.0
End7.8
blue by 14.6
49.40.9
49.250.1
Auto12.5
Teleop27.6
End9.3
Second
28.40.3
27.928.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End5.6
blue by 13.3
78
#5
41.60.8
41.442.2
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.4
Third
5962
#21
17.50.3
17.217.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 8.3
9055
#26
9.20.8
9.09.8
Auto3.9
Teleop-2.2
End7.4