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Red80
636717.1
17520.7
12623.9
Blue90
6131.3
264829.5
490619.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6186020401001201408090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#25
23.90.4
23.523.9
Auto8.6
Teleop9.6
End5.6
blue by 7.5
61
#10
31.30.3
30.430.7
Auto11.9
Teleop11.9
End7.5
Second
175
#12
20.70.5
20.220.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.3
End6.5
blue by 8.8
2648
#11
29.50.3
28.628.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Third
6367
#15
17.10.4
16.717.1
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 2.4
4906
#22
19.50.3
18.618.8
Auto8.5
Teleop3.7
End7.3