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Red113
612017.9
30253.0
657036.0
Blue118
29745.5
6120B12.9
438154.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107110708090100120130140150113118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#8
53.00.7
49.049.6
Auto12.7
Teleop30.6
End9.1
blue by 1.4
54.41.1
53.054.2
Auto15.5
Teleop28.6
End9.8
Second
36.00.7
31.532.2
Auto10.6
Teleop15.7
End10.0
blue by 9.5
297
#12
45.51.9
27.929.8
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End8.0
Third
6120
#26
17.90.7
22.723.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 5.0
12.91.9
19.921.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned