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Red110
24018.2
862B24.5
150663.7
Blue101
30253.0
3538B33.6
152818.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9510750150110101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.71.3
58.559.8
Auto16.1
Teleop36.1
End10.4
red by 10.7
302
#8
53.00.2
51.952.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.6
End9.1
Second
862B
#24
24.52.0
11.813.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End7.1
blue by 9.0
33.60.2
32.632.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.7
Third
240
#18
18.21.3
20.121.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End6.0
blue by 0.2
1528
#17
18.30.2
13.814.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.2
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned