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Red123
721156.0
54840.5
3538B33.6
Blue122
3359.2
86236.1
862B24.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139118050100200250123122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.3
51.250.8
Auto13.4
Teleop32.3
End9.1
blue by 3.2
33
#6
59.20.5
54.955.4
Auto18.0
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Second
548
#19
40.50.3
46.546.1
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End5.9
red by 4.4
862
#16
36.10.5
39.439.9
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End10.0
Third
33.60.3
30.430.1
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.7
red by 9.0
862B
#24
24.53.9
24.520.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned