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Red170
152818.3
150663.7
3359.2
Blue97
438154.4
283439.2
612017.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441145010020017097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.71.9
59.861.7
Auto16.1
Teleop36.1
End10.4
red by 9.3
54.40.9
52.851.9
Auto15.5
Teleop28.6
End9.8
Second
33
#6
59.21.9
59.161.0
Auto18.0
Teleop32.0
End7.6
red by 19.9
2834
#20
39.20.9
40.940.0
Auto15.0
Teleop17.4
End7.1
Third
1528
#17
18.31.9
13.515.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.2
End8.2
red by 0.5
6120
#26
17.90.9
17.516.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed