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Red115
442254.9
828023.4
413044.7
Blue161
3359.2
150663.7
612017.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914850100200250115161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#11
54.90.2
55.054.9
Auto12.0
Teleop32.4
End9.4
blue by 8.9
63.70.5
63.263.8
Auto16.1
Teleop36.1
End10.4
Second
44.70.2
44.944.7
Auto13.0
Teleop21.8
End9.2
blue by 14.5
33
#6
59.20.5
58.759.2
Auto18.0
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Third
8280
#21
23.40.2
23.623.4
Auto8.1
Teleop9.6
End6.3
red by 5.5
6120
#26
17.90.5
17.417.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.5