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Red144
442254.9
828023.4
413044.7
Blue114
721156.0
22630.7
7211B33.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13112505001,0001,500144114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#11
54.90.5
54.755.2
Auto12.0
Teleop32.4
End9.4
blue by 1.2
56.00.1
55.255.1
Auto13.4
Teleop32.3
End9.1
Second
44.70.5
44.545.0
Auto13.0
Teleop21.8
End9.2
red by 11.6
33.10.1
32.332.2
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End6.0
Third
8280
#21
23.40.5
23.223.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.6
End6.3
blue by 7.3
226
#22
30.70.1
29.929.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End5.0