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Red151
172114.8
346757.2
13353.1
Blue155
431126.1
8851.4
176849.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13113380100120140160180151155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.6
56.657.2
Auto16.8
Teleop31.3
End9.1
red by 5.7
88
#3
51.40.7
50.851.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.2
End7.1
Second
133
#1
53.10.7
52.453.1
Auto14.5
Teleop27.5
End11.0
red by 4.1
49.00.7
48.349.0
Auto13.8
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Third
1721
#40
14.80.6
14.214.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
blue by 11.3
4311
#18
26.10.7
25.526.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End6.8