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Red69
172924.4
872439.6
534716.3
Blue110
17224.7
490533.7
616121.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687340608010069110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.3
30.530.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.7
End7.5
red by 5.9
4905
#29
33.72.2
29.331.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Second
1729
#15
24.40.5
20.521.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End9.3
blue by 0.3
172
#12
24.72.2
18.921.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
5347
#26
16.30.5
13.614.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End4.9
blue by 5.0
6161
#32
21.41.6
20.021.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned