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Red83
542219.1
416916.4
545920.8
Blue28
362318.1
196517.8
526522.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516202040801008328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5459
#25
20.83.0
13.316.3
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.0
blue by 1.2
5265
#31
22.03.2
19.015.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End4.8
Second
5422
#27
19.13.2
19.622.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End4.8
red by 1.0
3623
#30
18.13.2
18.715.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Third
4169
#37
16.43.2
16.219.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End5.6
blue by 1.4
1965
#13
17.81.9
19.217.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed