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Red85
196517.8
208416.6
581342.8
Blue106
332324.9
172924.4
346757.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8094406010012014085106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.5
38.739.2
Auto12.7
Teleop23.1
End6.9
blue by 14.4
57.21.3
50.251.5
Auto16.8
Teleop31.3
End9.1
Second
1965
#13
17.80.5
17.317.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.2
blue by 7.1
3323
#20
24.92.2
17.119.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End5.6
Third
2084
#38
16.60.9
21.021.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End7.1
blue by 7.8
1729
#15
24.41.7
19.220.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned