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Red121
8851.4
620120.0
17224.7
Blue86
490533.7
545920.8
362318.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927305015012186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#3
51.41.8
45.647.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.2
End7.1
red by 17.7
4905
#29
33.71.3
34.335.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Second
172
#12
24.72.4
24.827.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End5.7
red by 3.9
5459
#25
20.81.3
17.919.3
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.0
Third
6201
#36
20.03.0
13.516.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End6.2
red by 1.9
3623
#30
18.11.7
18.820.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed