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Red106
176112.7
115347.3
573527.0
Blue101
172114.8
416916.4
872439.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8868020406080100120140160106101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.7
39.240.9
Auto11.3
Teleop27.5
End8.4
red by 7.7
39.61.2
34.535.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.7
End7.5
Second
5735
#23
27.02.9
26.729.6
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 10.6
4169
#37
16.42.0
19.421.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End5.6
Third
1761
#39
12.72.9
14.117.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.7
End4.7
blue by 2.1
1721
#40
14.81.7
12.414.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed