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Red74
872439.6
490533.7
395814.5
Blue126
320529.2
346757.2
542219.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901082040608010012014016074126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.8
35.734.9
Auto10.5
Teleop21.7
End7.5
blue by 17.5
57.21.2
51.552.7
Auto16.8
Teleop31.3
End9.1
Second
4905
#29
33.71.0
35.734.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
red by 4.5
3205
#19
29.21.9
27.028.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.6
Third
3958
#34
14.51.4
14.913.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End5.8
blue by 4.6
5422
#27
19.11.9
20.222.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned