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Red114
176849.0
332324.9
431126.1
Blue66
573527.0
172924.4
542219.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947720406012014016011466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.5
43.845.4
Auto13.8
Teleop27.8
End7.3
red by 21.9
5735
#23
27.00.8
29.128.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End6.9
Second
4311
#18
26.12.4
24.226.6
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End6.8
red by 1.8
1729
#15
24.40.6
22.922.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End9.3
Third
3323
#20
24.92.4
18.120.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End5.6
red by 5.8
5422
#27
19.10.8
22.121.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned