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Red90
287633.0
320529.2
172924.4
Blue133
454620.6
8851.4
872439.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81121406010014016018090133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#22
33.00.6
28.629.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.2
End7.6
blue by 18.4
88
#3
51.41.0
50.051.0
Auto11.1
Teleop33.2
End7.1
Second
3205
#19
29.20.8
29.830.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.6
blue by 10.4
39.61.0
36.637.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.7
End7.5
Third
1729
#15
24.40.6
22.523.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End9.3
red by 3.7
4546
#14
20.61.3
21.422.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned