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Red105
346757.2
17224.7
172114.8
Blue125
476122.5
115347.3
226229.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100100859095105110115120125105125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.4
53.954.3
Auto16.8
Teleop31.3
End9.1
red by 9.8
47.31.3
44.746.0
Auto11.3
Teleop27.5
End8.4
Second
172
#12
24.70.4
26.226.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 4.5
2262
#10
29.21.3
27.729.0
Auto12.7
Teleop10.9
End5.5
Third
1721
#40
14.80.4
13.614.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
blue by 7.6
4761
#17
22.51.3
21.422.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned