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Red71
320529.2
176112.7
490533.7
Blue101
115347.3
9724.2
196517.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687205010015020025071101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#29
33.70.8
27.328.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
blue by 13.6
47.31.9
35.537.4
Auto11.3
Teleop27.5
End8.4
Second
3205
#19
29.20.8
21.021.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.6
red by 5.1
97
#16
24.23.2
16.519.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End7.2
Third
1761
#39
12.70.8
15.916.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.7
End4.7
blue by 5.1
1965
#13
17.81.9
15.317.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned