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Red80
9724.2
226229.2
620120.0
Blue101
581342.8
542219.1
534716.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758420406010012014080101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2262
#10
29.20.5
29.029.5
Auto12.7
Teleop10.9
End5.5
blue by 13.6
42.81.2
40.441.6
Auto12.7
Teleop23.1
End6.9
Second
97
#16
24.20.7
24.925.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End7.2
red by 5.0
5422
#27
19.11.5
19.521.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End4.8
Third
6201
#36
20.00.7
17.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End6.2
red by 3.6
5347
#26
16.31.6
18.219.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned