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Red90
320529.2
362318.1
115347.3
Blue158
581342.8
13353.1
616121.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9912240608014016090158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.4
47.447.0
Auto11.3
Teleop27.5
End8.4
blue by 5.7
133
#1
53.11.3
49.951.2
Auto14.5
Teleop27.5
End11.0
Second
3205
#19
29.20.4
29.629.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.6
blue by 13.6
42.81.1
41.642.7
Auto12.7
Teleop23.1
End6.9
Third
3623
#30
18.10.4
18.518.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End2.7
blue by 3.3
6161
#32
21.41.1
20.321.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned