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Red89
526522.0
287633.0
395814.5
Blue85
573527.0
332324.9
5832.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64942040801201401608985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#22
33.01.3
30.531.8
Auto7.3
Teleop18.2
End7.6
red by 1.1
58
#11
32.00.0
32.732.7
Auto10.8
Teleop13.6
End7.6
Second
5265
#31
22.01.6
20.422.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End4.8
blue by 5.0
5735
#23
27.00.0
26.926.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End6.9
Third
3958
#34
14.51.5
13.014.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End5.8
blue by 10.4
3323
#20
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned