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Red134
176849.0
8851.4
431126.1
Blue124
13843.2
581342.8
573527.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351186080100160180200134124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#3
51.40.2
50.650.8
Auto11.1
Teleop33.2
End7.1
red by 8.3
138
#8
43.20.1
43.043.2
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End8.5
Second
49.00.2
48.148.4
Auto13.8
Teleop27.8
End7.3
red by 6.2
42.80.1
42.642.8
Auto12.7
Teleop23.1
End6.9
Third
4311
#18
26.10.2
25.325.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End6.8
blue by 0.9
5735
#23
27.00.1
26.927.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End6.9