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Red148
999919.1
7849.0
632853.2
Blue111
175748.1
242323.0
46740.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411980100140160148111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.6
52.152.7
Auto18.9
Teleop25.0
End8.8
red by 5.1
1757
#17
48.10.0
48.448.4
Auto13.0
Teleop24.1
End9.4
Second
78
#7
49.00.6
47.848.4
Auto13.4
Teleop27.0
End9.0
red by 8.4
467
#1
40.60.0
40.840.8
Auto9.2
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Third
9999
#24
19.11.0
17.318.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End7.2
blue by 3.9
2423
#16
23.00.0
23.323.3
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End4.9