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Red89
998130.5
24633.0
545925.8
Blue69
856731.9
620119.3
500032.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869702004006008001,0001,2001,4008969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#15
33.00.0
35.935.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End6.7
red by 0.1
5000
#23
32.91.3
34.132.8
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Second
30.50.0
23.823.8
Auto10.2
Teleop15.0
End5.2
blue by 1.3
8567
#22
31.91.3
33.932.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End5.9
Third
5459
#13
25.80.0
29.029.0
Auto10.0
Teleop8.3
End7.6
red by 6.5
6201
#10
19.31.3
20.419.1
Auto7.7
Teleop5.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned