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Red119
19013.8
242323.0
7849.0
Blue102
110026.6
271342.3
500032.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81113050100150200250119102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
49.02.1
43.745.8
Auto13.4
Teleop27.0
End9.0
red by 6.7
2713
#14
42.30.2
41.842.0
Auto9.3
Teleop27.0
End5.7
Second
2423
#16
23.02.1
20.923.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 9.9
5000
#23
32.90.2
31.531.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Third
190
#6
13.82.1
12.714.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End5.5
blue by 12.8
1100
#25
26.60.2
26.226.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned