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Red90
545925.8
910133.3
115336.5
Blue87
346757.6
872436.0
404131.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011500502002509087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#29
36.51.2
35.334.1
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End6.3
blue by 21.1
57.63.1
61.057.9
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End8.2
Second
33.31.2
35.133.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End7.5
blue by 2.6
8724
#32
36.03.1
39.836.7
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End6.6
Third
5459
#13
25.81.2
27.626.4
Auto10.0
Teleop8.3
End7.6
blue by 5.4
4041
#21
31.13.1
34.331.2
Auto12.8
Teleop11.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed