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Red107
176850.1
14749.1
8842.6
Blue68
31939.9
19013.8
24633.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10698608012014010768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.0
50.950.8
Auto11.0
Teleop34.4
End3.3
red by 10.2
319
#12
39.90.6
40.940.3
Auto15.0
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
88
#27
42.60.0
43.443.3
Auto11.7
Teleop22.8
End7.7
red by 9.6
246
#15
33.00.6
33.533.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End6.7
Third
1474
#31
9.10.0
9.09.0
Auto5.3
Teleop2.6
End1.9
blue by 4.7
190
#6
13.80.6
14.814.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End5.5