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Red156
860421.5
19553.2
17666.0
Blue108
57119.2
174044.6
17751.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154119100200250156108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
66.00.1
65.866.0
Auto17.6
Teleop38.5
End9.8
red by 14.4
177
#3
51.50.2
51.751.5
Auto11.0
Teleop31.5
End9.0
Second
195
#2
53.20.1
53.053.2
Auto13.1
Teleop30.5
End9.5
red by 8.5
44.60.2
44.844.6
Auto14.3
Teleop23.0
End7.3
Third
8604
#30
21.50.1
21.321.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End7.2
red by 2.3
571
#26
19.20.2
19.319.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End6.4