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Red71
314632.9
662020.9
216821.4
Blue96
46734.4
49875.8
712714.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7763020401001207196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#19
32.91.0
20.619.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
blue by 1.5
467
#16
34.41.2
23.124.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
2168
#12
21.41.0
34.033.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.7
End7.6
red by 7.0
7127
#34
14.51.5
15.416.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
Third
6620
#28
20.90.6
15.615.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.8
red by 15.1
4987
#35
5.81.5
22.423.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed