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Red133
17666.0
19553.2
689521.3
Blue88
511227.6
173531.7
17828.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126715010015013388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
66.01.4
57.158.5
Auto17.6
Teleop38.5
End9.8
red by 34.3
1735
#10
31.71.6
28.330.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.5
End4.7
Second
195
#2
53.22.4
41.744.1
Auto13.1
Teleop30.5
End9.5
red by 24.7
178
#11
28.41.6
19.721.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
6895
#29
21.32.4
12.715.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End6.5
blue by 6.3
27.61.0
25.326.2
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned