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Red86
672316.3
712714.5
169938.2
Blue92
909616.7
237032.0
199118.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61653040507080901008692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.9
24.825.7
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 6.2
32.01.2
28.227.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End4.8
Second
6723
#27
16.30.9
17.618.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End6.4
blue by 1.9
1991
#24
18.10.8
20.419.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End5.7
Third
7127
#34
14.50.9
15.116.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
blue by 2.2
9096
#23
16.71.4
12.010.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsMissed