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Red61
216821.4
6133.5
712714.5
Blue93
19553.2
107123.4
371915.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838760701001101201306193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#18
33.51.1
35.133.9
Auto13.7
Teleop11.3
End8.6
blue by 19.6
195
#2
53.20.2
46.746.9
Auto13.1
Teleop30.5
End9.5
Second
2168
#12
21.41.8
26.124.4
Auto7.0
Teleop6.7
End7.6
blue by 1.9
1071
#17
23.40.1
23.423.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End9.2
Third
7127
#34
14.51.8
16.815.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
blue by 0.9
3719
#32
15.30.1
10.710.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned