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Red51
790713.6
18116.1
173531.7
Blue67
909616.7
511227.6
870919.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596930405080901001105167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#10
31.70.5
26.926.3
Auto9.4
Teleop17.5
End4.7
red by 4.0
27.60.2
29.329.5
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End9.1
Second
181
#25
16.10.4
15.014.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 3.4
8709
#20
19.50.3
19.219.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End5.1
Third
7907
#33
13.60.5
14.614.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End3.8
blue by 3.1
9096
#23
16.70.3
15.215.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned