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Red95
17531.4
712714.5
174044.6
Blue83
365432.4
314632.9
672316.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947640601201401609583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.3
42.943.2
Auto14.3
Teleop23.0
End7.3
red by 11.7
3146
#19
32.90.8
29.730.5
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
Second
175
#6
31.40.3
29.429.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End8.8
blue by 0.9
3654
#13
32.40.6
28.629.2
Auto12.4
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Third
7127
#34
14.50.4
13.614.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
blue by 1.8
6723
#27
16.30.8
15.316.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned