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Red42
22817.3
17828.4
689521.3
Blue25
314632.9
712714.5
790713.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476601001502004225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#11
28.40.5
18.718.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End5.3
blue by 4.5
3146
#19
32.93.8
24.520.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
Second
6895
#29
21.30.5
17.116.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End6.5
red by 6.9
7127
#34
14.53.8
19.315.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
Third
228
#22
17.30.4
11.110.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End8.0
red by 3.7
7907
#33
13.63.8
15.812.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed